However bigger Israeli UAVs would make sense, particularly in the context of:
Israel and Russia are working on figuring out coordination in Syria.
Is that a good source? There is just a lot of internet cr@p out there and the fact that no verifiable news agency can pin down what is going on suggests there aren't dozens of Russian fighters in Syria just yet right?
Not to say there wont be.
Last edited by mrmalaya; 21st September 2015 at 18:58.
Those news agencies just repeat what they are prompted to by controlled DoD leaks or via commercial satellite footage.
Unless the latter has been updated overnight, they don't anything about what is on that airfield right now.
This where having that DIRCM equipped Su-25SM3 fleet operational would be reaaaaally nice about now.
Might as well offer to deploy to Iraq now, if they want it, though from a Russian perspective their interests in Syria are much more precarious.
Good luck to the guys.
Last edited by TR1; 21st September 2015 at 19:18.
I will take this as evidence. Talk about interesting times!!
Ok so now I know a few people are going to be asking where are the Su-24 that we saw in the video before right I have a bit of a theory.
There were some photos that were posted of a unmarked Su-24 in desert camo on display taken at Novosibirsk Aviation Plant about a month ago. At first I though it might of been an Ex Libya Su-24 that never got delivered.
Then was an article a read a few days ago that I found a bit odd because it stated that Syria had taken delivery of Sukhoi aircraft from Russia. (See if I can find it again) I thought it was a weird chose of words but though nothing more of it.
So what I believe is that those Su-24 that we sure in the video were't RuAF Su-24 but in fact are new Su-24 for the Syrian Air force. Which have been flown into another base.
I also believe that the news of the MiG-35 contract for a secret customer will also indeed turn out to be Syria.
What this would means is that this Russian build up had been in the works for sometime but kept secret.
Like I said it's just a theory so I could be completely wrong. Maybe they just didn't arrived yet when the satellite photo was taken.
Again, this is an application of the Theo of Thales*.
Explanation are in Fr, but you might read it with ease (the ruler in our case is the the leaf). Have fun!
*As a kid, it's an interesting way to learn Mathematics (and a cheap game that will last more than most Video game for you parents).
Last edited by TomcatViP; 21st September 2015 at 20:41.
Curious as to why Ka-52 is not being deployed. It is new yes, but would be perfect for operations. The night vision would be a huge change from SyrianAF daylight operations, and it critically has a full defensive suit including DIRCM.
Another situation where if the Hermes munition was available it would be assist greatly- but that project has been foot dragging for years. And since the Vihr order has been cocked up and is late, Ataka + 80mm rockets + 30mm gun is all there is to use realistically. Should be enough especially if used at night though.
Sources in Israel say a coordination center is being set up with the Israeli Air Force command to communicate with the VVS.
Better than any helicopter save the Mi-28. I doubt its survivability is significantly lower than the Mi-28's in combat as well, plus it has ejection seats. Certainly no worse than the deployed Mi-24s protection.
And it has the huge advantage of a full defensive suit (unlike Mi-28N to date or Su-25SM, not to even mention Mi-24/35) in addition to the DIRCM.
Being able to know you are under MANPAD fire + have a means to disable them >>>> a slight armor advantage.
I do believe Ka-52s will eventually be deployed. Apaches were not deployed in Libya until several months after the air strikes started. Ka-52s have superb self defense suites and have much better survivability compared to Mi-24s.
Last edited by Captain Ouuf; 22nd September 2015 at 03:37.
Any word on SAMs being set up?
What did they bring in terms of ground hardware (specifically)?
Panshir have been spotted early on. No update so far.
This thread started almost innocently, but is about to explode and take over. The Last time I remember something like this happened on this forum was when first PAK-FA T-50 took off !!!
My opinion is that this is quite a chess move by Russia perfectly timed. Even though they cant possibly afford military deployment and intervention on foreign soil ala USA.
Tactically, all the pieces are falling into their favor now.
Last time I can remember Netanyahu came running to Russia so quickly was when They signed a deal with Iran for S300. That means serious business. Thats even beyond what USA can say for sure what went on behind those doors :-)
Russia is going to gain a lot with this military deployment. If they don't miscalculate in the long run!
They don't even need to fly a single bombing mission for a long while in my opinion. Just the deployment and presence and its potential is a MAJOR CHESS MOVE!
Now everyone wants to talk to them and deal new cards :-)
Not to mention diverting pressure from conflict in Ukraine.
Assad is now safe for some time from everyone! That's another fact!. Turkey, USA, and many others on the ground there are not happy.
I'm personally just happy to see Russian hardware hopefully beating down on ISIL.
Last edited by Wanderlei; 22nd September 2015 at 05:19.
Israel will certainly go to expand in the Golan. On the strategic point it helps the fight against daesh and on the local point it will relieve the settlement pressure on the palestinian and hence ease tensions with the hezb and Iran.
A double strike with one single ball.
But so far we don't know what the Ru are still doing. Is that an evac of dignitaries and assets or is this the beginning of an Assad land securing the med access for Ru and Iran (don't forget that there is Assad because Iran need to secure its access to the med).
Sometime I see all this as long planned and dully executed in deep understanding at a level where the clownesque continental Eu agitations have Long flown past the pathetic.
Yeh, Blah is all we can say today pretty much.
I'm also thinking what the hell was Putin thinking 12 months ago! Was he giving up on Assad and Syria all together, or was he planning this move knowing nothing much will change despite USAF and coalition bombing for a year, so he will wait for the right moment to step in and look good on the news :-)
I'm waiting to hear now about those Mig-29M2 finally coming. Supposedly they were built and ready for delivery couple years ago for SAAF and were even considered to be sold to Serbian AF.Not sure if that was disputed later.
Last edited by Wanderlei; 22nd September 2015 at 05:44.
Photo of the Flight Line
When did Russia last deploy to the Middle East? I wonder what operational lessons will be learned? It is a very long line of aircraft at a base that has recently been attacked is it not?
Ukraine crisis also messed up things great time, sparkling irrationalistic (N.B. it is not the same than irrational) game of action and reaction between Russia and NATO: they closed Bulgarian airspace and so they had to find a longer and more risky route.
In every case Russia can capitalize now the fact it can have friends (few) and antagonists (many) but no one is in such bad terms or so powerful to refuse to deal with or ignore what it say .
So they can just put themselves as a middleman and strike separate deals with all the involved parties, even if they are sworn enemies between one's another.
Last edited by Marcellogo; 22nd September 2015 at 11:45.
Russia to Coordinate Military Actions with Israel
... so says Al Jazeera: http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2015/0...045752894.html
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