Wanderlei
Decent reading about the subject in here:
http://www.strategicstudiesinstitute....cfm?pubID=771
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This short and seemingly rediculous account of North Korea's armed forces made me make this thread hoping to filter out as much nonsense as possible. Also, to try to create some more realistic sense of what they could actually use "tomorrow" to attack South/US troops.
http://www.defencetalk.com/north-kor...repower-39072/
How can they have that many aircraft ...316 transport planes. Does that include two seat single propeller An-2s? 588 transport helicopters??? Who has that many helicopters ?!!AIR FORCE
The air force, designed for quick strikes across the border in South Korea, has an estimated 80 bombers, 541 fighters and ground attack fighters, 316 transport planes, 588 transport helicopters, 24 attack helicopters and at least one unmanned drone as well as an ample supply of air-to-air missiles and surface-to-air missiles
Read more: http://www.defencetalk.com/north-kor...#ixzz1hHYbCCI4
Last edited by Wanderlei; 22nd December 2011 at 18:11.
Wanderlei
Decent reading about the subject in here:
http://www.strategicstudiesinstitute....cfm?pubID=771
Global Security has the full break down here:
http://www.globalsecurity.org/milita...-equipment.htm
Basically they have a ton of AN-2's and a lot of older fighter/attack aircraft.
More good info here
http://geimint.blogspot.com/2010/06/...m-network.html
"The early bird gets the worm but the second mouse gets the cheese."
thank you. Lots of good read.
Do you suppose their Mig-17s, Su-7s and Mig-19s are still in service?
Do you suppose their ground attack IL-28 aircraft would have any role in a war with South?
any mor erecent info on air fleet upgrades of Mig-29s or anymore potent SAM systems.
thanks again!
A significant proportion of their fleet is in service on paper only! In respect of fast air I would say some of their later build J-7 are probably still being flown and the most potent aircraft in their fleet the Mig-23 and Mig-29 are still active albeit availbility and flight hours are very low.
Russia is no longer going to supply aircraft and China wants hard currency for anything new.
The fact is asymetric systems like missiles and mini submarines are a better investment at the moment.
That sums it up. Imho those bewildering numbers are ridiculous. Gorssly inflated to make them look more threatening than they are.A significant proportion of their fleet is in service on paper only!
The real threat is the artillery both tube and rocket based. Also it should be remembered that it isn't tank country so their ground forces can get up rather close.
All that is limited in range and just the smaller part of that is capable to inflict local damage by that. Even a local success of their ground forces by tactical surprise and/or numbers will not tip the balance of power in their favor. Without military aid by the Chinese there is no realistic chance to start a war with limited targets even. Smart weapons do no longer allow to utilise the terrain like in the 50s. The Chinese can not see some gains from a local conflict there except a power change within NK after a lost border battle.![]()
For the intrested one the DMZ is ~250 km or ~155 miles and just 4 lines of approach are of some military intrest at first. Every tactical surprise is time limited and the high mobility of ROK forces will strangle that in short notice. Compared to NK forces the ROK and US-forces have "unlimited" support by overhelming air-power that limited area in mind.
Well hmmm, quite alot of that artillery has good range capability and they have plenty of it. As was shown in the Korean war artillery is king there! Also their SRBM's and IRBM's can hit quite a few cities in the region. I agree that the southern forces would win out in the end but all analysis shows that it would be an utter slaughter before that point.
Also agree that China does not want to see a local conflict and arguably they are the important power broker in the area.
The UN forces made that mistake in 1950. Infantry are not as constrained by lines of approach as heavily mechanised forces.
I think the numbers may be exaggerated, & they're certainly distorted. For example, the IISS in 2003 listed 306 helicopters - including 139 Mi-2, 80 Hughes 500D, 15 Mi-8/17 & 48 Z-5. Note that most are light, or light utility helicopters. About 300 of the 'transport' aircraft are An-2/Y-5, intended to infiltrate sniper teams into the S. Korean rear.
Most of that "ample supply" of AAMs & SAMs are museum pieces, like most of the fighters.
I expect that many of the ground attack aircraft can get into the air, but are probably capable of one way missions only, & most of the pilots have very little flying time. AFAIK they preserve aircraft by rarely flying them.
Last edited by swerve; 22nd December 2011 at 21:44.
Juris praecepta sunt haec: honeste vivere, alterum non laedere, suum cuique tribuere.
Justinian
I am well aware about that and you can kick a lot of stones and sand with it for little effect.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WPAY0m3pJ3I
(At least the mountain is not hitting back and still there!)
The military purpose is to support own ground forces to lend some extra fire power to fulfill a limited task. All the numerous SRBM's and IRBM's are limited in fire-power compared to an ordinary general purpose bomb and without pin-point accuracy.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2006_Lebanon_War
gives an idea about civilian losses by such kind of fire.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bombing...n_World_War_II
gives an idea about civilian losses by such kind of fire against a Korean city of similar size.
Whenever NK will start an attack the civilians will suffer and the own military can not do much about that at first. My personal feelings aside not exceptional compared to other conflict somewhere or a single atomic bomb can bring to a city.
Last edited by Sens; 22nd December 2011 at 21:59.
Well I could talk about population density but lets just say no party in the area wants to find out the result of a war.
I noticed a pattern.
North Korea has sunk SK ship and shelled SK targets last year. Nothing happened. Plus it tested nukes.
Libya gave up nukes and turned its military into an internal security, on the premise it wont be attacked. It was bombed and militias were given support to overthrow recognised government.
North Korea is doing something right. Bristling with WMDs it can buy time to improve economy.
Libya doesnt boarder China.
Libya didn't have nukes to give up. It was trying to get them, but it hadn't got very far.
It didn't turn its military into an internal security force. It had well over 1000 tanks, lots of heavy artillery, many SAMs, & far more jet fighters than any internal security force would need.
North Korea isn't buying time to improve its economy. In order to improve the economy, it would have to reform it in ways which the rulers refuse to do, & cut spending on the conventional armed forces which gobble up far too many resources to allow economic improvement. The economy has become more militarised as it has declined, not less, with civilian manufacturing production declining far more than military. There's no sign of that trend reversing. The role of WMDs appears to be to make up for the reducing effectiveness of the conventional military, as the continued economic disaster reduces N. Korea's ability to maintain & support them, their equipment becomes increasingly obsolete & worn-out, & the troops become smaller & weaker due to worsening diet. Why improve the economy when you can use threats of war to extort enough money from the neighbours for a tiny ruling clique to live in luxury?
Juris praecepta sunt haec: honeste vivere, alterum non laedere, suum cuique tribuere.
Justinian
All them purchases were made during cold war. Tell what new systems they had. If the Libyan government had kept chemical weapons in active service, it would not have been toppled. In my eyes bombing someone with JDAMS and gassing them with mustard gas is the same, death is death.
With a increased Nuke deterent, they can spend less on military. We have to see. Your right on about NK needing to reform, but since any attack is unlikely, as compared to Iran, they have time.
Libya had no effective delivery system for mustard gas. It could send fairly small numbers of aircraft, on one way trips, dropping very crude bombs (an effective system needs a good dispersal mechanism: AFAIK Libya never developed one).
Mustard gas doesn't kill anyone quickly & cleanly, & it kills people, not weapons. You can't attack a tank depot, or a military airfield, with mustard gas without gassing any civilians nearby or downwind.
NATO & its allies deliberately targeted weapons first & soldiers second, & tried to avoid civilians. If Libya had been able to get mustard gas to targets in Italy, it would have been killing & maiming mostly civilians, because that's the nature of the weapon. Do you really not see a difference?
North Korea can't just spend less on the military, & get a benefit. There's hardly any civilian industry nowadays, & what there is, is hopelessly obsolete, making goods that can't be sold abroad.
It doesn't have time. Infrastructure is deteriorating, the remaining industry is decaying due to lack of investment, agricultural production has levelled out at a perhaps sustainable but much reduced level - but it's inadequate to feed the population in most years. It's functioning largely at a pre-industrial level. The average height of N. Koreans is reducing. Children are smaller than they were 70 years ago. Everything is falling apart. The longer it goes on, the worse it gets.
Last edited by swerve; 24th December 2011 at 00:15.
Juris praecepta sunt haec: honeste vivere, alterum non laedere, suum cuique tribuere.
Justinian
Nothing new. Similar to South Korean ground forces in South Vietnam. We still have to learn from the United States how many SU instructors took part in combat missions over North Vietnam. By the way there was a reason why North Vietnam MiGs seldom passed the own coast-line to engage US fighters.
NK MiG-29 !!!
http://www.fyjs.cn/bbs/htm_data/27/1201/668992.html
Deino
...
He was my North, my South, my East and West,
My working week and my Sunday rest,
My noon, my midnight, my talk, my song;
I thought that love would last forever; I was wrong.
The stars are not wanted now; put out every one:
Pack up the moon and dismantle the sun;
Pour away the ocean and sweep up the woods:
For nothing now can ever come to any good.
-------------------------------------------------
W.H.Auden (1945)
The sudden death of maverick North Korean strongman Kim Jong-il has not come as a surprise, as talks about the impending succession of power have been going on for a long time. It was also well known that Kim would be succeeded by his third son, Kim Jong Un. The only question that remains open is whether a second Korean War is possible.
So the MiG-29 is their most advanced aircraft. What model? (Or has anyone taken time to analyze the variant yet?)
Go Huskers!
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